Fenerbahçe 0-0 Samsunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 16 Mar 2025

Fenerbahçe
0-0 HT 0-0
Samsunspor
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.69
2-3 Goals
33%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.11
6+ Goals
13%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 30% vs market 21.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.71
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.5
X/1
21%
3.83
X/2
5%
14.05
X/X
9%
6.21
2/1
9%
22.55
2/2
6%
12.05
2/X
6%
20.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
66%
-4.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.5pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+2.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fenerbahçe v Samsunspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
2.15/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.86
+17% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
425 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
23.5 Crosses 14.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fenerbahçe
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Samsunspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.95 xG 0.39
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
384 Passes 279
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.10.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-2 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
21.01.2024 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1-1 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
21.08.2023 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
21.03.2012 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-0 HT 3-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TÜK
02.02.2012 Samsunspor Samsunspor 3-1 HT 1-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
23.10.2011 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 0-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL

Fenerbahçe 0-0 Samsunspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
0-0
AWAY Samsunspor
1.98 xG 0.12
65% Ball Possession 35%
28 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
459 Passes 220
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
52 Box Touches 4
45 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe and Samsunspor played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fenerbahçe at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fenerbahçe had 65% of the ball to Samsunspor's 35%, shots finished 28-2, expected goals 1.98 to 0.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fenerbahçe and 1.00 for Samsunspor.

What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor?

Fenerbahçe 0-0 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 61%, draw 23%, Samsunspor 16%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fenerbahçe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
16 Mar 2025
00:00 Çaykur Rizespor vs Bodrum FK Analysis →
00:00 Hatayspor vs Sivasspor Analysis →
16:00 Göztepe vs Eyüpspor Analysis →