Samsunspor 2-2 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
45%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.11
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.76
6+ Goals
8%
16.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.05
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
13%
7.85
X/2
15%
4.27
X/X
13%
4.54
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.57
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-3.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 53%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +26%
1.16/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.07
-15% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +45%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
18.2 Crosses 18.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.23 xG 2.12
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
217 Passes 422
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 31
7 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.01.2024 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1-1 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
21.08.2023 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
21.03.2012 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-0 HT 3-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TÜK
02.02.2012 Samsunspor Samsunspor 3-1 HT 1-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
23.10.2011 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 0-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
16.01.2011 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 0-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
2-2
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.72 xG 1.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
402 Passes 308
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samsunspor and Fenerbahçe couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Fenerbahçe at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Samsunspor had 55% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 45%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.72 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Samsunspor and 1.17 for Fenerbahçe.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe?

Samsunspor 2-2 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Super League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 28%, draw 27%, Fenerbahçe 45%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Fenerbahçe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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