Sivasspor 3-2 Hatayspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.84
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.12
6+ Goals
8%
19.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.02
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
16%
4.54
X/2
12%
6.56
X/X
16%
4.3
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
7%
5.04
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.43/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.66
-14% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
21.4 Crosses 14.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sivasspor
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Hatayspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.64 xG 0.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
311 Passes 314
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
30.09.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
02.10.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-2 HT 1-2 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
16.04.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
28.11.2021 Sivasspor Sivasspor 4-0 HT 2-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
03.03.2021 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sivasspor
3-2
AWAY Hatayspor
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
242 Passes 348
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH Sivasspor vs Hatayspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sivasspor squeezed past Hatayspor 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sivasspor as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sivasspor had 42% of the ball to Hatayspor's 58%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sivasspor and 0.83 for Hatayspor.

What was the final score of Sivasspor vs Hatayspor?

Sivasspor 3-2 Hatayspor in the Turkey - Super League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs Hatayspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sivasspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 42%, draw 29%, Hatayspor 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sivasspor) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sivasspor) ✗ Under 2.5
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