Alanyaspor 1-2 Kasımpaşa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 20 Oct 2024

Alanyaspor
1-2 HT 0-2
Kasımpaşa
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Alanyaspor vs Kasımpaşa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
16.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 30% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.52
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
15%
5.26
X/2
12%
5.86
X/X
12%
4.34
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
16%
4.1
2/X
5%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alanyaspor v Kasımpaşa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.63/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.50
+6% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
20.6 Crosses 21.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Alanyaspor vs Kasımpaşa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kasımpaşa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.59 xG 1.91
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
415 Passes 317
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 29
23 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.02.2024 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-1 HT 1-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
17.09.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-3 HT 2-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
30.05.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-3 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
04.01.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 4-1 HT 2-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
13.02.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-2 HT 0-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
23.09.2021 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL

Alanyaspor 1-2 Kasımpaşa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
1-2
AWAY Kasımpaşa
1.43 xG 1.27
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
417 Passes 325
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs Kasımpaşa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kasımpaşa nicked a narrow win over Alanyaspor 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Alanyaspor at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 54% of the ball to Kasımpaşa's 46%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.43 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Alanyaspor and 2.33 for Kasımpaşa.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Kasımpaşa?

Alanyaspor 1-2 Kasımpaşa in the Turkey - Super League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Kasımpaşa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 41%, draw 26%, Kasımpaşa 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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