Hatayspor 3-2 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 16 Mar 2025

Hatayspor
3-2
Sivasspor
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Hatayspor vs Sivasspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.36
6+ Goals
10%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 26% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.29
1/2
5%
26.5
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
11%
6.35
X/2
13%
5.45
X/X
11%
4.53
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
22%
3.37
2/X
8%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.1pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hatayspor v Sivasspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
1.17/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.44
-13% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
20.5 Crosses 23.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Hatayspor vs Sivasspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatayspor
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sivasspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.61 xG 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
327 Passes 315
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.10.2024 Sivasspor Sivasspor 3-2 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
17.02.2024 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
30.09.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
02.10.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-2 HT 1-2 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
16.04.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
28.11.2021 Sivasspor Sivasspor 4-0 HT 2-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL

Hatayspor 3-2 Sivasspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
3-2
AWAY Sivasspor
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 22
8 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 9
343 Passes 301
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH Hatayspor vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hatayspor edged past Sivasspor 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Hatayspor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hatayspor had 52% of the ball to Sivasspor's 48%, shots finished 15-22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sivasspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hatayspor and 1.67 for Sivasspor.

What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Sivasspor?

Hatayspor 3-2 Sivasspor in the Turkey - Super League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sivasspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 36%, draw 24%, Sivasspor 40%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sivasspor) ✗ Under 2.5
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