Bolton Wanderers 0-1 Rotherham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.83
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
16.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.29
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
12%
4.15
X/2
11%
9.37
X/X
13%
4.76
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
11%
7.9
2/X
7%
16.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.67/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.90
+18% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / +75%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
375 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 65%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
20.9 Crosses 22.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolton Wanderers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Rotherham United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.30 xG 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
240 Passes 220
64% Pass Accuracy 66%
21 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.01.2025 Rotherham United Rotherham United 3-1 HT 2-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
01.01.2022 Rotherham United Rotherham United 2-1 HT 1-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
18.09.2021 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-2 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
14.09.2019 Rotherham United Rotherham United 6-1 HT 3-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
26.12.2018 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNCL
20.10.2018 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-1 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolton Wanderers
0-1
AWAY Rotherham United
2.97 xG 0.24
70% Ball Possession 30%
36 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 2
481 Passes 161
86% Pass Accuracy 64%
61 Box Touches 9
53 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bolton Wanderers vs Rotherham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rotherham United squeezed past Bolton Wanderers 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Bolton Wanderers at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bolton Wanderers had 70% of the ball to Rotherham United's 30%, shots finished 36-5, expected goals 2.97 to 0.24 — on chances, Bolton Wanderers could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rotherham United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 2.50 for Rotherham United.

What was the final score of Bolton Wanderers vs Rotherham United?

Bolton Wanderers 0-1 Rotherham United in the England - 1st Division on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolton Wanderers vs Rotherham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bolton Wanderers 46%, draw 26%, Rotherham United 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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