Exeter City 1-1 Wigan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.98
2-3 Goals
34%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
6.05
6+ Goals
10%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.32
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
4%
15.3
X/1
11%
5.35
X/2
15%
5.34
X/X
21%
3.46
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
16%
4.3
2/X
4%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.1pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Exeter City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -19%
1.06/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.03
-34% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
22.5 Crosses 19.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Exeter City
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Wigan Athletic
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.71 xG 1.11
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 5
381 Passes 333
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
10.02.2024 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-2 HT 0-1 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
04.11.2023 Exeter City Exeter City 0-2 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic FAK
21.10.2023 Exeter City Exeter City 0-2 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Exeter City
1-1
AWAY Wigan Athletic
0.46 xG 0.96
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
266 Passes 162
69% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 13
34 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Exeter City vs Wigan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Exeter City and Wigan Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Exeter City had 62% of the ball to Wigan Athletic's 38%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 0.46 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Wigan Athletic led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Exeter City and 1.25 for Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Exeter City vs Wigan Athletic?

Exeter City 1-1 Wigan Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Exeter City vs Wigan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Exeter City win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Exeter City 36%, draw 28%, Wigan Athletic 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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