Derby County 0-0 Burnley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 8 Apr 2025

Derby County
0-0 HT 0-0
Burnley
📅08/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Derby County vs Burnley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.87
Draw
36%
3.04
Away
45%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
68%
1.41
Over 2.5
32%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.44
No
61%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.95
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
14%
6.56
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.76
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
5%
18.1
X/1
7%
8.12
X/2
17%
4.05
X/X
27%
3.5
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
19%
2.75
2/X
4%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 68% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
22%
-2.8pp
36%
Draw
29%
+6.4pp
45%
Away Win
48%
-3.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
67%
+0.7pp
32%
Over 2.5
33%
-0.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.7pp
61%
BTTS No
63%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Derby County v Burnley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derby County EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Burnley EU Bookmakers 52%
+14% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.93/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.75
-2% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
215 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
16.7 Crosses 13.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Derby County vs Burnley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derby County
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Burnley
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.58 xG 1.34
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
343 Passes 328
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
6 Box Touches 38
10 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.12.2024 Burnley Burnley 0-0 HT 0-0 Derby County Derby County İNCL
25.01.2016 Burnley Burnley 4-1 HT 1-1 Derby County Derby County İNCL
21.09.2015 Derby County Derby County 0-0 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley İNCL
01.03.2014 Burnley Burnley 2-0 HT 1-0 Derby County Derby County İNCL
31.08.2013 Derby County Derby County 0-3 HT 0-2 Burnley Burnley İNCL
26.12.2012 Burnley Burnley 2-0 HT 1-0 Derby County Derby County İNCL

Derby County 0-0 Burnley — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derby County
0-0
AWAY Burnley
1.32 xG 0.75
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
129 Passes 464
58% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Derby County vs Burnley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derby County and Burnley fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Burnley at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Derby County had 30% of the ball to Burnley's 70%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.32 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Derby County and 1.83 for Burnley.

What was the final score of Derby County vs Burnley?

Derby County 0-0 Burnley in the England - Championship on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derby County vs Burnley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Derby County 20%, draw 36%, Burnley 45%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Burnley) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burnley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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