İspanya (K) 7-1 Portekiz (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
70%
1.16
Draw
15%
7.78
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.14
Over 2.5
65%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.33
No
49%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
7.41
2-3 Goals
37%
2.24
4-5 Goals
34%
2.34
6+ Goals
12%
4.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
İspanya (K) win — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
82%
-12.1pp
15%
Draw
10%
+4.0pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
28%
+6.4pp
65%
Over 2.5
72%
-6.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
39%
+12.0pp
49%
BTTS No
61%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İspanya (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Portekiz (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
3.31/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/1.13
+26% / -69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +37%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
479 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 78%
55.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
37.3 Crosses 8.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İspanya (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Portekiz (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3.33 xG 1.05
75% Ball Possession 25%
20 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
590 Passes 147
87% Pass Accuracy 64%
42 Box Touches 6
24 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.04.2025 Portekiz (K) Portekiz (K) 2-4 HT 1-3 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) AVKUL
19.07.2017 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Portekiz (K) Portekiz (K) ABK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İspanya (K)
7-1
AWAY Portekiz (K)
3.85 xG 0.34
72% Ball Possession 28%
29 Total Shots 1
16 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 0
647 Passes 215
90% Pass Accuracy 75%
74 Box Touches 1
30 Crosses 1
POST-MATCH İspanya (K) vs Portekiz (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya (K) cruised past Portekiz (K) 7-1. Half-time: 4-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had İspanya (K) as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, İspanya (K) had 72% of the ball to Portekiz (K)'s 28%, shots finished 29-1, expected goals 3.85 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, İspanya (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for İspanya (K) and 1.00 for Portekiz (K).

What was the final score of İspanya (K) vs Portekiz (K)?

İspanya (K) 7-1 Portekiz (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İspanya (K) vs Portekiz (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a İspanya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split İspanya (K) 70%, draw 15%, Portekiz (K) 15%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İspanya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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