İsveç (K) 1-1 Galler (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
66%
1.18
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.4
No
53%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.75
6+ Goals
13%
7.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
İsveç (K) win — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
80%
-13.3pp
21%
Draw
14%
+7.2pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+6.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
38%
+9.8pp
53%
BTTS No
62%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İsveç (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Galler (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.50/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/3.47
-14% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +14%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
464 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 71%
36.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
17.1 Crosses 9.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İsveç (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Galler (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 1.24
64% Ball Possession 36%
7 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
390 Passes 190
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
37 Box Touches 11
31 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.02.2025 Galler (K) Galler (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) AVKUL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İsveç (K)
1-1
AWAY Galler (K)
2.35 xG 0.70
63% Ball Possession 37%
25 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
378 Passes 203
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
53 Box Touches 16
30 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İsveç (K) vs Galler (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İsveç (K) and Galler (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. İsveç (K) carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İsveç (K) had 63% of the ball to Galler (K)'s 37%, shots finished 25-5, expected goals 2.35 to 0.70.

What was the final score of İsveç (K) vs Galler (K)?

İsveç (K) 1-1 Galler (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İsveç (K) vs Galler (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a İsveç (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split İsveç (K) 66%, draw 21%, Galler (K) 12%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (İsveç (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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