Radomlje 4-1 Nafta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.58
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.19
6+ Goals
9%
21.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomlje EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Nafta EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-19% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomlje
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Nafta
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2025 Nafta Nafta 2-1 HT 0-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
04.10.2024 Radomlje Radomlje 2-0 HT 1-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN
26.07.2024 Nafta Nafta 2-1 HT 0-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
10.06.2020 Radomlje Radomlje 1-1 HT 0-1 Nafta Nafta SLVNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomlje
4-1
AWAY Nafta
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radomlje vs Nafta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomlje cruised past Nafta 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Radomlje found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Radomlje had 56% of the ball to Nafta's 44%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nafta led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Radomlje and 1.25 for Nafta.

What was the final score of Radomlje vs Nafta?

Radomlje 4-1 Nafta in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomlje vs Nafta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radomlje win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Radomlje 37%, draw 28%, Nafta 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radomlje), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radomlje) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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