Aguilas Doradas 2-1 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 8 Apr 2026

📅08/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
36%
+7.5pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.2pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-5.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.1pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.06/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.89
+13% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
18.3 Crosses 18.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.90 xG 0.89
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 Passes 273
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.08.2025 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 4-0 HT 2-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
08.03.2025 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
21.10.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-3 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
28.03.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
22.08.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
25.02.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
2-1
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.52 xG 1.29
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
163 Passes 268
64% Pass Accuracy 76%
8 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 36
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguilas Doradas nicked a narrow win over Atletico Bucaramanga 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aguilas Doradas as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 42% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 58%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.52 to 1.29 — on chances, Atletico Bucaramanga could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Bucaramanga led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 1.67 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Aguilas Doradas 2-1 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 08/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 44%, draw 28%, Atletico Bucaramanga 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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