Bahia 1-3 Nacional de Football — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Copa Libertadores, 8 May 2025

Bahia Elo 1808 · World #107 (clubs) WWWWW→
1 - 3 HT 0 - 0
Nacional de Football Elo 1720 · World #270 (clubs) WWDWW→
📅08/05/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Copa Libertadores – 2025

Bahia vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 10:31
Match Result
HomeVIEW
63%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.81
Away
15%
4.76
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.98
Over
54%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.94
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.63
2-3
46%
1.8
4-5
24%
3.1
6+
6%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
2.02
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.4
X/1
20%
4.13
X/2
6%
10.8
X/X
13%
5.8
2/1
3%
22.0
2/2
8%
8.63
2/X
4%
17.2
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Bahia v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Bahia The Market 64%
Signal
AWAY Nacional de Football The Market 21%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.97 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.96
0.82 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.87
Bad Attack Strength Great
– Defense Strength Weak
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
405 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 72%
27 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
25 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3

Bahia vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nacional de Football
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.51 xG 0.37
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
402 Passes 286
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.04.2025 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 0-1 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia LKU

Bahia 1-3 Nacional de Football — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahia
1 - 3
AWAY Nacional de Football
1.45 xG 2.45
73% Ball Possession 27%
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
551 Passes 164
91% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 14
REVIEW Bahia vs Nacional de Football
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Nacional de Football took care of Bahia 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Bahia carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.

Under the surface, Bahia had 73% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 27%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.45 to 2.45.

Bahia vs Nacional de Football Result & Final Score

Bahia 1 - 3 Nacional de Football in the Copa Libertadores on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bahia vs Nacional de Football Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Bahia 63%, draw 22%, Nacional de Football 15%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bahia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bahia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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