Sporting Cristal 2-1 Bolivar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 8 May 2025

Sporting Cristal
2-1 HT 1-0
Bolivar
📅08/05/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Copa Libertadores – 2025

Sporting Cristal vs Bolivar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.82
6+ Goals
10%
8.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.82
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
4%
12.35
X/1
15%
5.23
X/2
10%
7.39
X/X
13%
5.45
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.45
2/2
14%
4.85
2/X
9%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.45 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Cristal v Bolivar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolivar EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.41/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.53
-14% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 80%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
29.5 Crosses 15.0
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Sporting Cristal vs Bolivar Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Cristal
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Bolivar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.24 xG 2.48
25% Ball Possession 75%
8 Total Shots 27
0 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 9
90 Passes 455
55% Pass Accuracy 91%
15 Box Touches 39
13 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.04.2025 Bolivar Bolivar 3-0 HT 2-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal LKU
16.03.2006 Bolivar Bolivar 1-2 HT 0-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal LKU
08.03.2006 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 2-1 HT 0-0 Bolivar Bolivar LKU

Sporting Cristal 2-1 Bolivar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Cristal
2-1
AWAY Bolivar
1.13 xG 1.40
31% Ball Possession 69%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
141 Passes 408
61% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 31
9 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Cristal vs Bolivar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Cristal squeezed past Bolivar 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sporting Cristal had 31% of the ball to Bolivar's 69%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 1.13 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sporting Cristal and 1.67 for Bolivar.

What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Bolivar?

Sporting Cristal 2-1 Bolivar in the Copa Libertadores on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs Bolivar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 44%, draw 25%, Bolivar 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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