Bolivar 3-0 Sporting Cristal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 10 Apr 2025

📅10/04/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.3
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.98
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
7.08
2-3 Goals
38%
2.22
4-5 Goals
27%
2.36
6+ Goals
12%
4.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.47
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
19.9
X/1
14%
4.15
X/2
6%
19.35
X/X
9%
9.86
2/1
11%
18.35
2/2
6%
14.55
2/X
6%
22.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
72%
-8.8pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.4pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.3pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivar EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.91/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.83
+19% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -19%
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
24.4 Crosses 11.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolivar
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Sporting Cristal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.03.2006 Bolivar Bolivar 1-2 HT 0-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal LKU
08.03.2006 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 2-1 HT 0-0 Bolivar Bolivar LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivar
3-0
AWAY Sporting Cristal
2.48 xG 0.24
75% Ball Possession 25%
27 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 3
455 Passes 90
91% Pass Accuracy 55%
39 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bolivar vs Sporting Cristal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar swept aside Sporting Cristal 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bolivar as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bolivar had 75% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 25%, shots finished 27-8, expected goals 2.48 to 0.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bolivar and 2.00 for Sporting Cristal.

What was the final score of Bolivar vs Sporting Cristal?

Bolivar 3-0 Sporting Cristal in the Copa Libertadores on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivar vs Sporting Cristal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 64%, draw 20%, Sporting Cristal 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivar), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bolivar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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