Club Olimpia 0-4 Velez Sarsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 10 Apr 2025

📅10/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
29%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.44
Over 2.5
41%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
6.14
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.46
1/2
10%
35.0
1/X
10%
15.2
X/1
17%
5.49
X/2
10%
5.29
X/X
16%
3.4
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
8%
4.22
2/X
5%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.1pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
35%
-5.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
66%
-6.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
34%
+6.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 38%
+14% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.63/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.66
+0% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +143% / -30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
26.9 Crosses 19.0
3.5 Yellow Cards 5.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Olimpia
0-4
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
1.04 xG 2.13
58% Ball Possession 42%
26 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
323 Passes 239
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club Olimpia vs Velez Sarsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Sarsfield swept aside Club Olimpia 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Club Olimpia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Club Olimpia had 58% of the ball to Velez Sarsfield's 42%, shots finished 26-11, expected goals 1.04 to 2.13.

What was the final score of Club Olimpia vs Velez Sarsfield?

Club Olimpia 0-4 Velez Sarsfield in the Copa Libertadores on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Olimpia vs Velez Sarsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Club Olimpia 41%, draw 30%, Velez Sarsfield 29%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Club Olimpia), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Olimpia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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