LDU Quito 2-0 Deportivo Tachira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 10 Apr 2025

📅10/04/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.33
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.32
6+ Goals
13%
12.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.32 — our 25% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.58
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
21.8
X/1
20%
3.64
X/2
7%
18.45
X/X
8%
6.47
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
2/2
7%
17.5
2/X
5%
26.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
70%
-6.9pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.1pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.3pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
2.14/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.47
-14% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -22%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 71%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.3
24.3 Crosses 10.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
2-0
AWAY Deportivo Tachira
1.38 xG 0.46
53% Ball Possession 47%
23 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
411 Passes 364
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 12
39 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Deportivo Tachira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito got the better of Deportivo Tachira 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, LDU Quito had 53% of the ball to Deportivo Tachira's 47%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 1.38 to 0.46.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Deportivo Tachira?

LDU Quito 2-0 Deportivo Tachira in the Copa Libertadores on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Deportivo Tachira?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 64%, draw 19%, Deportivo Tachira 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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