Flamengo 1-2 Central Cordoba Santiago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 10 Apr 2025

📅10/04/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.42
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 27% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.58
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
21.5
X/1
23%
3.66
X/2
8%
17.9
X/X
11%
6.62
2/1
10%
25.0
2/2
7%
16.7
2/X
6%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-12.6pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.0pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.4pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+17% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.1 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo
1-2
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago
1.37 xG 1.51
77% Ball Possession 23%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 6
13 Corners 1
516 Passes 118
88% Pass Accuracy 66%
32 Box Touches 9
40 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Flamengo vs Central Cordoba Santiago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Cordoba Santiago edged past Flamengo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. Flamengo carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Flamengo had 77% of the ball to Central Cordoba Santiago's 23%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.37 to 1.51.

What was the final score of Flamengo vs Central Cordoba Santiago?

Flamengo 1-2 Central Cordoba Santiago in the Copa Libertadores on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Central Cordoba Santiago?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 58%, draw 22%, Central Cordoba Santiago 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Flamengo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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