Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palmeiras v Cerro Porteno — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Palmeiras
LKU
2-1
HT 0-1
Cerro Porteno
LKU
5-0
HT 1-0
Cerro Porteno
LKU
0-3
HT 0-0
Palmeiras
LKU
0-1
HT 0-0
Cerro Porteno
LKU
0-2
HT 0-0
Palmeiras
LKU
Palmeiras 1-0 Cerro Porteno — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras squeezed past Cerro Porteno 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Palmeiras had 57% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 43%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 3.04 to 0.17 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Palmeiras's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Palmeiras and 0.33 for Cerro Porteno.
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
Palmeiras 1-0 Cerro Porteno in the Copa Libertadores on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 56%, draw 22%, Cerro Porteno 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.