Nacional de Football 0-1 Bahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 10 Apr 2025

Nacional de Football
0-1 HT 0-0
Bahia
📅10/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Copa Libertadores – 2026

Nacional de Football vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.33
6+ Goals
8%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
4.08
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
9%
5.62
X/2
15%
5.54
X/X
16%
4.03
2/1
10%
33.5
2/2
10%
4.0
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nacional de Football v Bahia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahia EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-19% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.8 Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Nacional de Football vs Bahia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahia edged past Nacional de Football 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Nacional de Football at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Bahia?

Nacional de Football 0-1 Bahia in the Copa Libertadores on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Bahia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 41%, draw 29%, Bahia 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nacional de Football) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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