Cerro Porteno 0-2 Palmeiras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 8 May 2025

📅08/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.35
6+ Goals
9%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.51
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
8%
15.2
X/1
9%
7.82
X/2
10%
4.46
X/X
12%
4.1
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
28%
2.75
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 51%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.57/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.04
-80% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +40%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 82%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
13.4 Crosses 13.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Palmeiras
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.76 xG 2.54
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
317 Passes 296
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2025 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno LKU
25.05.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 0-3 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras LKU
21.04.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno LKU
07.07.2022 Palmeiras Palmeiras 5-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno LKU
30.06.2022 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 0-3 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras LKU
31.08.2018 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
0-2
AWAY Palmeiras
0.73 xG 1.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
253 Passes 332
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palmeiras saw off Cerro Porteno 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 46% of the ball to Palmeiras's 54%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 0.73 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cerro Porteno and 2.33 for Palmeiras.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras?

Cerro Porteno 0-2 Palmeiras in the Copa Libertadores on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 27%, draw 26%, Palmeiras 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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