İA Akranes 1-3 Keflavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 8 May 2026

İA Akranes
1-3 HT 0-1
Keflavik
📅08/05/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2026

İA Akranes vs Keflavik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.72
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
54%
+2.6pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.1pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.4pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İA Akranes v Keflavik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Keflavik EU Bookmakers 26%
-20% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
3.11/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.72
-46% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
32.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
23.7 Crosses 20.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

İA Akranes vs Keflavik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Keflavik
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.05.2024 Keflavik Keflavik 3-1 HT 2-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZK
19.04.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 1-0 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZK
02.10.2022 Keflavik Keflavik 3-2 HT 2-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
28.08.2022 Keflavik Keflavik 0-1 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
29.05.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-2 HT 0-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
02.10.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 2-0 HT 2-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZK

İA Akranes 1-3 Keflavik — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İA Akranes
1-3
AWAY Keflavik
1.15 xG 1.69
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
448 Passes 198
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 30
25 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs Keflavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik got the better of İA Akranes 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had İA Akranes at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, İA Akranes had 63% of the ball to Keflavik's 37%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.15 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keflavik led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for İA Akranes and 1.50 for Keflavik.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs Keflavik?

İA Akranes 1-3 Keflavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs Keflavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a İA Akranes win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 57%, draw 19%, Keflavik 24%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İA Akranes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İA Akranes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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