Stjarnan 2-3 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 8 May 2026

📅08/05/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
51%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
1.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
24%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-1.7pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.1pp
51%
Away Win
48%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.44/2.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/1.51
+10% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
233 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.7
15.7 Crosses 24.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.53 xG 1.85
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
210 Passes 351
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2025 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-2 HT 0-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
29.05.2025 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-2 HT 3-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
09.03.2025 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-3 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZLK
06.07.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-1 HT 0-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
16.05.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 5-3 HT 1-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZK
12.04.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-3 HT 1-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stjarnan
2-3
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.83 xG 2.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 22
7 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 11
247 Passes 340
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 56
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KR Reykjavik nicked a narrow win over Stjarnan 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KR Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Stjarnan had 44% of the ball to KR Reykjavik's 56%, shots finished 13-22, expected goals 1.83 to 2.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Stjarnan and 2.17 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik?

Stjarnan 2-3 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 30%, draw 20%, KR Reykjavik 51%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KR Reykjavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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