Fram Reykjavik 3-2 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 8 May 2026

📅08/05/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.6pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 30%
+15% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.65/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/2.00
+17% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
22.5 Crosses 17.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fram Reykjavik
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Valur
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.33 xG 1.84
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
292 Passes 451
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 33
19 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-0 HT 1-0 Valur Valur İZL
31.08.2025 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-1 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
02.06.2025 Valur Valur 2-1 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
28.07.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 4-1 HT 3-1 Valur Valur İZL
29.04.2024 Valur Valur 1-1 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
24.02.2024 Valur Valur 2-1 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fram Reykjavik
3-2
AWAY Valur
3.23 xG 2.24
57% Ball Possession 43%
25 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 1
404 Passes 300
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
62 Box Touches 21
36 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fram Reykjavik vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Reykjavik edged past Valur 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fram Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fram Reykjavik had 57% of the ball to Valur's 43%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 3.23 to 2.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fram Reykjavik had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fram Reykjavik and 1.17 for Valur.

What was the final score of Fram Reykjavik vs Valur?

Fram Reykjavik 3-2 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Reykjavik vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fram Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fram Reykjavik 46%, draw 22%, Valur 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fram Reykjavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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