Fram Reykjavik 2-0 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
45%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.61
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.41
No
35%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.56
2-3 Goals
43%
2.0
4-5 Goals
25%
2.47
6+ Goals
13%
5.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
45%
Away Win
48%
-3.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.5pp
65%
BTTS Yes
67%
-1.8pp
35%
BTTS No
33%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 52%
+8% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -28%
1.62/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.81
+7% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.2
24.2 Crosses 19.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fram Reykjavik
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Valur
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.27 xG 1.87
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
282 Passes 455
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 35
18 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2025 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-1 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
02.06.2025 Valur Valur 2-1 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
28.07.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 4-1 HT 3-1 Valur Valur İZL
29.04.2024 Valur Valur 1-1 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
24.02.2024 Valur Valur 2-1 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZLK
31.01.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-2 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZLRT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fram Reykjavik
2-0
AWAY Valur
1.59 xG 1.72
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 10
330 Passes 438
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fram Reykjavik vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Reykjavik beat Valur 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Valur at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fram Reykjavik had 44% of the ball to Valur's 56%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.59 to 1.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fram Reykjavik had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fram Reykjavik and 1.50 for Valur.

What was the final score of Fram Reykjavik vs Valur?

Fram Reykjavik 2-0 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Reykjavik vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fram Reykjavik 32%, draw 23%, Valur 45%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Valur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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