Afturelding vs KA Akureyri Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Afturelding v KA Akureyri — Team-Based Signals
Afturelding vs KA Akureyri Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-7
HT 0-2
KA Akureyri
İZLK
Afturelding 3-2 KA Akureyri — Actual Match Statistics
Afturelding nicked a narrow win over KA Akureyri 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was KA Akureyri at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
On the day, Afturelding had 50% of the ball to KA Akureyri's 50%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 0.88 to 1.44 — the balance of chances actually favoured KA Akureyri.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Afturelding and 3.25 for KA Akureyri.
What was the final score of Afturelding vs KA Akureyri?
Afturelding 3-2 KA Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Afturelding vs KA Akureyri?
Before kick-off our model rated an KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Afturelding 37%, draw 19%, KA Akureyri 44%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KA Akureyri) went the other way.