Valur 2-1 Fram Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 2 Jun 2025

📅02/06/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
65%
-5.9pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.6pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.3pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 20%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
2.16/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.07
+19% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
36.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
22.5 Crosses 19.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.75 xG 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
473 Passes 301
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 26
27 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 4-1 HT 3-1 Valur Valur İZL
29.04.2024 Valur Valur 1-1 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
24.02.2024 Valur Valur 2-1 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZLK
31.01.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-2 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZLRT
23.07.2023 Valur Valur 1-0 HT 1-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
23.04.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-3 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
2-1
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
2.47 xG 0.26
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
600 Passes 309
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
40 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valur vs Fram Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur nicked a narrow win over Fram Reykjavik 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Valur had 63% of the ball to Fram Reykjavik's 37%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.47 to 0.26 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Valur's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Valur and 1.67 for Fram Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Valur vs Fram Reykjavik?

Valur 2-1 Fram Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 02/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs Fram Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Valur 59%, draw 22%, Fram Reykjavik 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →