KR Reykjavik 1-2 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
75%
1.31
No
25%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+2.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.9pp
75%
BTTS Yes
72%
+2.3pp
25%
BTTS No
28%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 37%
+13% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
2.84/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.72
+51% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
23.3 Crosses 20.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KR Reykjavik
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stjarnan
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.90 xG 1.62
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
330 Passes 218
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
32 Box Touches 24
28 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.05.2025 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-2 HT 3-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
09.03.2025 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-3 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZLK
06.07.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-1 HT 0-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
16.05.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 5-3 HT 1-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZK
12.04.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-3 HT 1-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
08.03.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-1 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KR Reykjavik
1-2
AWAY Stjarnan
1.70 xG 1.25
64% Ball Possession 36%
24 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 4
414 Passes 189
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
37 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan edged past KR Reykjavik 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was KR Reykjavik at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (75%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KR Reykjavik had 64% of the ball to Stjarnan's 36%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 1.70 to 1.25 — on chances, KR Reykjavik could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for KR Reykjavik and 2.17 for Stjarnan.

What was the final score of KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?

KR Reykjavik 1-2 Stjarnan in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?

Before kick-off our model rated a KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split KR Reykjavik 48%, draw 22%, Stjarnan 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KR Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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