Stjarnan 4-2 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 29 May 2025

📅29/05/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.25
No
38%
3.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.1pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.5pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
76%
-13.2pp
38%
BTTS No
24%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -3%
1.90/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.65
+31% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
288 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 81%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
13.2 Crosses 18.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
2W-2D-2L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.46 xG 1.38
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
282 Passes 320
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2025 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-3 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZLK
06.07.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-1 HT 0-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
16.05.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 5-3 HT 1-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZK
12.04.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-3 HT 1-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
08.03.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-1 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZLK
28.09.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-0 HT 2-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stjarnan
4-2
AWAY KR Reykjavik
2.65 xG 2.16
26% Ball Possession 74%
9 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
117 Passes 462
60% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 47
5 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan got the better of KR Reykjavik 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 21% / 37% — and on the day Stjarnan made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Stjarnan had 26% of the ball to KR Reykjavik's 74%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 2.65 to 2.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Stjarnan and 1.83 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik?

Stjarnan 4-2 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 29/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 42%, draw 21%, KR Reykjavik 37%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stjarnan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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