Afturelding 0-2 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 29 May 2025

📅29/05/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.04
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
44%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
21%
+11.1pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.9pp
44%
Away Win
58%
-14.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.3pp
37%
BTTS No
36%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afturelding EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.1
Crosses 25.9
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afturelding
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Valur
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
17.05.2024 Afturelding Afturelding 1-3 HT 1-2 Valur Valur İZK
13.03.2021 Valur Valur 3-0 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Afturelding
0-2
AWAY Valur
0.80 xG 1.57
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
393 Passes 338
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Afturelding vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur beat Afturelding 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Afturelding had 58% of the ball to Valur's 42%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.80 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Valur led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Afturelding and 3.00 for Valur.

What was the final score of Afturelding vs Valur?

Afturelding 0-2 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 29/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afturelding vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Afturelding 32%, draw 23%, Valur 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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