Vestri 0-1 Vikingur R. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 29 May 2025

Vestri
0-1 HT 0-1
Vikingur R.
📅29/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2025

Vestri vs Vikingur R. Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.48
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
58%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
19%
+0.5pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.1pp
58%
Away Win
58%
-0.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.4pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vestri v Vikingur R. — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vestri EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 62%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
0.88/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/1.02
-27% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +24%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.8
15.7 Crosses 23.9
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Vestri vs Vikingur R. Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vestri
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Vikingur R.
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.32 xG 2.29
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
254 Passes 478
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.08.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 1-1 HT 1-0 Vestri Vestri İZL
20.05.2024 Vestri Vestri 1-4 HT 1-3 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
02.10.2021 Vestri Vestri 0-3 HT 0-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZK

Vestri 0-1 Vikingur R. — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vestri
0-1
AWAY Vikingur R.
1.02 xG 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
337 Passes 399
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 38
21 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vestri vs Vikingur R.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. nicked a narrow win over Vestri 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vikingur R. as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Vestri had 48% of the ball to Vikingur R.'s 52%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.02 to 1.75.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vestri and 2.67 for Vikingur R..

What was the final score of Vestri vs Vikingur R.?

Vestri 0-1 Vikingur R. in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 29/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vestri vs Vikingur R.?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Vestri 20%, draw 22%, Vikingur R. 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vikingur R.), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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