Al Mokawloon vs El Gounah Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Mokawloon v El Gounah — Team-Based Signals
Al Mokawloon vs El Gounah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
El Gounah
MSR
2-0
HT 0-0
El Gounah
MSRK
1-2
HT 0-0
Al Mokawloon
MSR
Al Mokawloon 1-0 El Gounah — Actual Match Statistics
Al Mokawloon nicked a narrow win over El Gounah 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 39% / 25% — and on the day Al Mokawloon made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
On the day, Al Mokawloon had 54% of the ball to El Gounah's 46%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 0.98 to 0.37.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Mokawloon had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Mokawloon and 0.67 for El Gounah.
What was the final score of Al Mokawloon vs El Gounah?
Al Mokawloon 1-0 El Gounah in the Egypt - Premier League on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Mokawloon vs El Gounah?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Mokawloon 36%, draw 39%, El Gounah 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.