El Gounah vs Al Mokawloon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Gounah v Al Mokawloon — Team-Based Signals
El Gounah vs Al Mokawloon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
El Gounah
MSR
2-0
HT 0-0
El Gounah
MSRK
1-2
HT 0-0
Al Mokawloon
MSR
2-1
HT 1-0
El Gounah
MSR
El Gounah 1-1 Al Mokawloon — Actual Match Statistics
El Gounah and Al Mokawloon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (30% / 32% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, El Gounah had 63% of the ball to Al Mokawloon's 37%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.15 to 0.96.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Mokawloon led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for El Gounah and 1.33 for Al Mokawloon.
What was the final score of El Gounah vs Al Mokawloon?
El Gounah 1-1 Al Mokawloon in the Egypt - Premier League on 23/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Gounah vs Al Mokawloon?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Mokawloon win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split El Gounah 30%, draw 32%, Al Mokawloon 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Mokawloon), BTTS No went the other way.