Kryvbas KR 1-0 Karpaty Lviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 8 May 2026

📅08/05/2026 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.7pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 48%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.62/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.62
+58% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +57%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kryvbas KR
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Karpaty Lviv
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.11.2025 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 1-0 HT 0-0 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
14.12.2024 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 2-0 HT 1-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
11.08.2024 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 3-0 HT 2-0 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kryvbas KR
1-0
AWAY Karpaty Lviv
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kryvbas KR vs Karpaty Lviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kryvbas KR nicked a narrow win over Karpaty Lviv 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Kryvbas KR made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kryvbas KR had 44% of the ball to Karpaty Lviv's 56%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Karpaty Lviv led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kryvbas KR and 1.33 for Karpaty Lviv.

What was the final score of Kryvbas KR vs Karpaty Lviv?

Kryvbas KR 1-0 Karpaty Lviv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kryvbas KR vs Karpaty Lviv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karpaty Lviv win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kryvbas KR 34%, draw 27%, Karpaty Lviv 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Karpaty Lviv) ✗ BTTS Yes
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