Polessya 2-1 Oleksandria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 8 May 2026

📅08/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.28
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.33
No
50%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
15%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
74%
-4.5pp
18%
Draw
17%
+0.5pp
13%
Away Win
9%
+4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
39%
+11.0pp
50%
BTTS No
61%
-11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polessya EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Oleksandria EU Bookmakers 11%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -9%
1.95/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.90
-6% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polessya
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Oleksandria
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2025 Oleksandria Oleksandria 0-3 HT 0-1 Polessya Polessya UKR
04.05.2025 Polessya Polessya 1-2 HT 1-1 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
03.11.2024 Oleksandria Oleksandria 1-0 HT 0-0 Polessya Polessya UKR
09.03.2024 Polessya Polessya 1-2 HT 0-1 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
02.11.2023 Polessya Polessya 0-0 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKRK
26.08.2023 Oleksandria Oleksandria 0-3 HT 0-0 Polessya Polessya UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polessya
2-1
AWAY Oleksandria
74% Ball Possession 26%
21 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Polessya vs Oleksandria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya nicked a narrow win over Oleksandria 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Polessya as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Polessya had 74% of the ball to Oleksandria's 26%, shots finished 21-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oleksandria led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Polessya and 0.83 for Oleksandria.

What was the final score of Polessya vs Oleksandria?

Polessya 2-1 Oleksandria in the Ukraine - Premier League on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polessya vs Oleksandria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Polessya 70%, draw 18%, Oleksandria 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polessya) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polessya)
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