Gold Coast Knights 3-2 Peninsula Power — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.96
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.1pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.7pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 29%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.30/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/3.18
-52% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
428 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.0 Crosses 13.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast Knights
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Peninsula Power
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.23 xG 1.80
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
303 Passes 296
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 1-0 HT 0-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
08.09.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 5-0 HT 0-0 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
30.07.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-0 HT 0-0 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
29.04.2023 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 1-4 HT 1-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
04.09.2022 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 3-1 HT 1-0 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
17.06.2022 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 2-1 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
POST-MATCH Gold Coast Knights vs Peninsula Power
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast Knights nicked a narrow win over Peninsula Power 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gold Coast Knights as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast Knights had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Gold Coast Knights and 0.67 for Peninsula Power.

What was the final score of Gold Coast Knights vs Peninsula Power?

Gold Coast Knights 3-2 Peninsula Power in the Australia - National Premier League on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast Knights vs Peninsula Power?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast Knights 48%, draw 26%, Peninsula Power 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gold Coast Knights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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