Progreso 1-0 Miramar Misiones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 8 Jun 2025

📅08/06/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
39%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-8.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
39%
Away Win
29%
+9.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Progreso EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.04/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.07
-21% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Progreso
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Miramar Misiones
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2025 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 1-1 Progreso Progreso URU
18.08.2024 Progreso Progreso 0-0 HT 0-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
18.02.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 2-3 HT 0-2 Progreso Progreso URU
02.09.2023 Progreso Progreso 1-1 HT 0-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU2
14.05.2023 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 2-2 HT 1-2 Progreso Progreso URU2
23.07.2022 Progreso Progreso 1-1 HT 1-1 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Progreso
1-0
AWAY Miramar Misiones
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Progreso vs Miramar Misiones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Progreso nicked a narrow win over Miramar Misiones 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Progreso found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Progreso had 55% of the ball to Miramar Misiones's 45%, shots finished 16-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Progreso had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Progreso and 1.17 for Miramar Misiones.

What was the final score of Progreso vs Miramar Misiones?

Progreso 1-0 Miramar Misiones in the Uruguay - Premier League on 08/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Progreso vs Miramar Misiones?

Before kick-off our model rated an Miramar Misiones win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Progreso 35%, draw 26%, Miramar Misiones 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Miramar Misiones) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Miramar Misiones) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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