CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA Penarol v Defensor Sporting — Team-Based Signals
CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Defensor Sporting
URU
2-1
HT 0-0
Defensor Sporting
URU
CA Penarol 3-0 Defensor Sporting — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol cruised past Defensor Sporting 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, CA Penarol had 55% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 45%, shots finished 16-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CA Penarol and 0.33 for Defensor Sporting.
What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting?
CA Penarol 3-0 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 08/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Defensor Sporting?
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 48%, draw 26%, Defensor Sporting 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.