Tacoma Stars 3-2 Capital — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 8 Jul 2024

📅08/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
15%
5.15
Away
28%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
1.0
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-13.6pp
15%
Draw
16%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
13%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tacoma Stars EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Capital EU Bookmakers 16%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
2.32/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.52
-14% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +76%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
422 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tacoma Stars
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Capital
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27.05.2024 Capital Capital 1-4 HT 1-0 Tacoma Stars USL2
POST-MATCH Tacoma Stars vs Capital
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tacoma Stars squeezed past Capital 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tacoma Stars as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Tacoma Stars vs Capital?

Tacoma Stars 3-2 Capital in the USA - USL League 2 on 08/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tacoma Stars vs Capital?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tacoma Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Tacoma Stars 58%, draw 15%, Capital 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tacoma Stars), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tacoma Stars) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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