Dinamo Moscow 1-1 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 8 Jul 2025

📅08/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.05
2-3 Goals
33%
1.84
4-5 Goals
29%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 26%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
3.80/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.00
+107% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.89 xG 1.36
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
386 Passes 242
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
15.09.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 4-2 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
09.03.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
01.10.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
14.05.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
23.11.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1 HT 2-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow and FC Akhmat Grozny couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Moscow at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 1.50 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Dinamo Moscow 1-1 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Friendlies on 08/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 50%, draw 22%, FC Akhmat Grozny 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dinamo Moscow), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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