St. Pölten 4-2 Bregenz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 8 Aug 2025

📅08/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.96
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.73
2-3 Goals
36%
2.16
4-5 Goals
27%
2.36
6+ Goals
14%
4.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.64
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
8%
17.3
X/1
23%
4.19
X/2
6%
14.15
X/X
8%
8.83
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
17.15
2/2
6%
9.96
2/X
5%
19.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.15 — our 9% vs market 3.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
68%
-4.2pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.5pp
16%
Away Win
15%
+0.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.6pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Bregenz EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
0.50/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.47
+3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
414 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 82%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
26.0 Crosses 12.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pölten
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Bregenz
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.05.2025 St. Pölten St. Pölten 3-1 HT 2-0 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
08.11.2024 Bregenz Bregenz 0-4 HT 0-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
27.08.2024 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-2 HT 0-1 Bregenz Bregenz AVK
20.05.2024 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-2 HT 2-1 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
10.11.2023 Bregenz Bregenz 2-3 HT 1-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
POST-MATCH St. Pölten vs Bregenz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pölten got the better of Bregenz 4-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Pölten as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, St. Pölten had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for St. Pölten and 1.40 for Bregenz.

What was the final score of St. Pölten vs Bregenz?

St. Pölten 4-2 Bregenz in the Austria - 1st Division on 08/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pölten vs Bregenz?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split St. Pölten 64%, draw 21%, Bregenz 16%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pölten), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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