Ammanford 2-1 Llantwit Major — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 8 Aug 2025

📅08/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.9pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.8pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ammanford EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
3.06/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.26
+60% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
337 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ammanford
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Llantwit Major
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
14.09.2024 Llantwit Major 1-0 HT 1-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
06.08.2024 Ammanford Ammanford 1-2 HT 0-2 Llantwit Major GALFAW
13.01.2024 Ammanford Ammanford 0-1 Llantwit Major GALFAW
21.10.2023 Llantwit Major 0-0 HT 0-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
07.04.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 3-2 HT 2-1 Llantwit Major GALFAW
18.03.2023 Llantwit Major 1-1 HT 0-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ammanford vs Llantwit Major
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ammanford squeezed past Llantwit Major 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ammanford as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Llantwit Major led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ammanford and 1.17 for Llantwit Major.

What was the final score of Ammanford vs Llantwit Major?

Ammanford 2-1 Llantwit Major in the Wales - FAW Championship on 08/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ammanford vs Llantwit Major?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ammanford win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ammanford 49%, draw 20%, Llantwit Major 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ammanford), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ammanford) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
8 Aug 2025
00:00 Pontypridd Town AFC vs Ynyshir Albions Analysis →
00:00 Flint Mountain vs Llandudno FC Analysis →
21:30 Denbigh Town vs Holywell Analysis →
21:30 Caerau (Ely) vs Trethomas Bluebirds Analysis →
21:45 Penrhyncoch vs Newtown Analysis →
21:45 Cambrian & Clydach vs Cwmbran Celtic Analysis →