Caerau (Ely) 1-1 Trethomas Bluebirds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 8 Aug 2025

📅08/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.9
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
1.95
Over 2.5
64%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+3.4pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.3pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
48%
-11.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
52%
+11.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.5pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
2.00/2.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.40
+2% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +38%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caerau (Ely)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Trethomas Bluebirds
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
21.02.2025 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 1-0 HT 1-0 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) GALFAW
26.08.2024 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 2-2 HT 0-0 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds GALFAW
POST-MATCH Caerau (Ely) vs Trethomas Bluebirds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caerau (Ely) and Trethomas Bluebirds couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Caerau (Ely) at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Trethomas Bluebirds led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Caerau (Ely) and 1.50 for Trethomas Bluebirds.

What was the final score of Caerau (Ely) vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Caerau (Ely) 1-1 Trethomas Bluebirds in the Wales - FAW Championship on 08/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caerau (Ely) vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Caerau (Ely) 52%, draw 21%, Trethomas Bluebirds 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caerau (Ely)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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