Union Magdalena 1-1 Deportivo Pasto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 8 Aug 2025

Union Magdalena
1-1 HT 1-0
Deportivo Pasto
📅08/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Union Magdalena vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.81
No
57%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.2pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+9.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
32%
+11.6pp
57%
BTTS No
68%
-11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Magdalena v Deportivo Pasto — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Magdalena EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 22%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
0.94/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.23
-65% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
233 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 79%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
19.1 Crosses 12.7
4.2 Yellow Cards 3.0

Union Magdalena vs Deportivo Pasto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Magdalena
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.80 xG 1.72
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
278 Passes 269
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.06.2025 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 3-1 HT 2-1 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOLK
26.02.2025 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-1 HT 1-1 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
14.10.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 3-1 HT 1-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
30.04.2023 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 2-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
24.07.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-2 HT 1-1 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
04.02.2022 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL

Union Magdalena 1-1 Deportivo Pasto — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Magdalena
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
0.73 xG 0.72
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
302 Passes 266
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 3
16 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Magdalena vs Deportivo Pasto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Magdalena and Deportivo Pasto couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Union Magdalena at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Union Magdalena had 52% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 48%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 0.73 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Union Magdalena and 1.67 for Deportivo Pasto.

What was the final score of Union Magdalena vs Deportivo Pasto?

Union Magdalena 1-1 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 08/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Magdalena vs Deportivo Pasto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Magdalena win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Union Magdalena 41%, draw 30%, Deportivo Pasto 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Union Magdalena), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Magdalena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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