Atletico Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Nacional v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
Atletico Nacional 3-0 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional swept aside Alianza Petrolera 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.
On the day, Atletico Nacional had 55% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 45%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.80 to 0.59.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atletico Nacional and 1.00 for Alianza Petrolera.
What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera?
Atletico Nacional 3-0 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 08/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 61%, draw 23%, Alianza Petrolera 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.