St. Mirren 1-0 St. Johnstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.38
6+ Goals
10%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 32% vs market 23.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.64
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
10%
12.6
X/1
18%
5.69
X/2
14%
5.98
X/X
12%
4.63
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
12%
3.93
2/X
6%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.13/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.08
-18% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
237 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
24.6 Crosses 19.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Mirren
4W-0D-2L
AWAY St. Johnstone
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.28 xG 0.82
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
201 Passes 364
64% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
14.12.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-3 HT 0-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
30.10.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 3-1 HT 1-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
24.02.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
06.12.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
28.10.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 4-0 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Mirren
1-0
AWAY St. Johnstone
1.36 xG 1.13
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
362 Passes 333
23 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Mirren vs St. Johnstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Mirren edged past St. Johnstone 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day St. Mirren made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.36 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for St. Mirren and 0.83 for St. Johnstone.

What was the final score of St. Mirren vs St. Johnstone?

St. Mirren 1-0 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Premiership on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs St. Johnstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 39%, draw 28%, St. Johnstone 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Mirren), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Mirren) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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