Ilkeston Town 1-0 Stockton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +2%
1.97/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.09
+30% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +30%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilkeston Town
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Stockton Town
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.03.2026 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Stockton Town İNGNLP
01.11.2025 Stockton Town 0-4 HT 0-2 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
22.03.2025 Stockton Town 1-0 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
18.02.2025 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Stockton Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilkeston Town
1-0
AWAY Stockton Town
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilkeston Town edged past Stockton Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Ilkeston Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 5-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Stockton Town led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Ilkeston Town and 1.00 for Stockton Town.

What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town?

Ilkeston Town 1-0 Stockton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stockton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 35%, draw 28%, Stockton Town 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stockton Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stockton Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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