Darmstadt 98 2-2 Holstein Kiel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.22
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.03
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.15
X/1
18%
5.4
X/2
13%
6.89
X/X
11%
5.25
2/1
6%
23.35
2/2
11%
4.42
2/X
7%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 6% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstein Kiel EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.67/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.63
+19% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
19.1 Crosses 16.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darmstadt 98
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Holstein Kiel
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.99 xG 1.46
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 Passes 362
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.03.2026 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-0 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
04.10.2025 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 1-1 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
06.01.2024 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-2 HT 0-1 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel HAZ
30.04.2023 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 0-3 HT 0-2 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
21.10.2022 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-1 HT 0-1 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
02.04.2022 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 3-1 HT 2-0 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darmstadt 98
2-2
AWAY Holstein Kiel
0.74 xG 1.40
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
361 Passes 371
18 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darmstadt 98 and Holstein Kiel shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Darmstadt 98 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.74 to 1.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darmstadt 98 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Darmstadt 98 and 0.83 for Holstein Kiel.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel?

Darmstadt 98 2-2 Holstein Kiel in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darmstadt 98 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 45%, draw 25%, Holstein Kiel 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Darmstadt 98) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Darmstadt 98) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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