Vila Nova vs Sport Recife Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vila Nova v Sport Recife — Team-Based Signals
Vila Nova vs Sport Recife Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Vila Nova
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR2
Vila Nova 0-1 Sport Recife — Actual Match Statistics
Sport Recife squeezed past Vila Nova 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Sport Recife made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 0.58 to 0.26.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sport Recife led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vila Nova and 0.83 for Sport Recife.
What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Sport Recife?
Vila Nova 0-1 Sport Recife in the Brazil - Serie B on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Sport Recife?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 40%, draw 26%, Sport Recife 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vila Nova) went the other way.