Rodez 3-1 Stade Lavallois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 27% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.94
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
17%
4.9
X/2
9%
7.02
X/X
10%
4.59
2/1
11%
25.5
2/2
16%
5.13
2/X
5%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.8pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rodez EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.36/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.41
+18% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
26.6 Crosses 18.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rodez
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Stade Lavallois
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.46 xG 1.11
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
301 Passes 318
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.04.2026 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-0 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
22.08.2025 Rodez Rodez 1-1 HT 1-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
18.04.2025 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-1 HT 1-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
24.09.2024 Rodez Rodez 1-3 HT 1-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
27.01.2024 Rodez Rodez 1-2 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
19.08.2023 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-0 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rodez
3-1
AWAY Stade Lavallois
2.30 xG 0.65
20 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
331 Passes 441
23 Box Touches 11
41 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rodez vs Stade Lavallois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rodez beat Stade Lavallois 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rodez as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 2.30 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stade Lavallois led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rodez and 1.50 for Stade Lavallois.

What was the final score of Rodez vs Stade Lavallois?

Rodez 3-1 Stade Lavallois in the France - Ligue 2 on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rodez vs Stade Lavallois?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rodez win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rodez 47%, draw 23%, Stade Lavallois 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rodez), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rodez) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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